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2024-12-14 00:20:18

4. For the first time, the extraordinary countercyclical adjustment was put forward, and it was clearly named for the first time to stabilize the stock market and the property market. There are several points that we should treat dialectically:Hong Kong stocks are mainly led by brokerage insurance, interior housing, consumption, technology and Internet giants. Today, under the A-share mapping, the above direction deserves special attention. However, I would like to remind you that after reading yesterday's resumption of trading, many small tickets and low-priced stocks that have been sizzled recently have shown signs of decline, so the way to break the position is to go on rallies, and the style switch behind should be a high probability event.4. For the first time, the extraordinary countercyclical adjustment was put forward, and it was clearly named for the first time to stabilize the stock market and the property market. There are several points that we should treat dialectically:


2. The new quality productivity ranks second this time. The key point is that last year, the construction of modern industrial system was led by scientific and technological innovation, and this time it has become the development of new quality productivity led by scientific and technological innovation. The new quality productivity has been repeatedly mentioned by Lao Liu recently, and the synthetic biology, commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy and the direction of Lu Yun mentioned yesterday deserve special attention.On November 8, I suggested that the reason for lightening the position was that if it continued to rise here, there would be a technical deviation at the daily level after closing at 3489.78 points. The same is true of the pressure now. As long as it closes at 3470.66 points today, it will form a technical deviation.First, simply sort out the contents of the after-hours meeting:


First of all, the policy combination boxing includes not only monetary policy, but also fiscal policy. Some brokers have predicted that deficit ratio will increase from 3% to 4%. Of course, this needs to be verified later. It's just that fiscal stimulus is a moderate rhythm of releasing water, not to mention that it hasn't been introduced yet, at least don't expect this batch of funds to flow into A shares quickly.What I want to express is very simple. The tone of this meeting is very positive, but it is beneficial to the medium and long term, and the short term may not be as radical as everyone thinks. At least today is suitable for holding shares, but it is not suitable for chasing up. Next, let's talk about my views from a technical point of view!Overnight, the external stock markets were mixed, and the three major indexes of the United States weakened collectively, while the Chinese stock index rose by 8.35% and the A50 index rose by 0.84%. The external sentiment was obviously beneficial to China assets. Therefore, there is no suspense in opening higher today, but if the opening is too large, it is not a good thing.

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